TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brahim Díaz: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No65c4,545$2,946 inWon+$1,598.7634357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7af0…fdf5backed Yes35c2,811$978 inLost-$977.862763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No66c999.99$660 inWon+$34016564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Yes36c888.77$318 inLost-$317.72825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes35c500$175 inLost-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes34c399.99$136 inLost-$1366254.8%34 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost-$10034526.1%90 W · 255 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Yes35c215$75 inLost-$75.251729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes34c148.53$50 inLost-$5017736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No71c142.2$101 inWon+$40.8713956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes35c100$35 inLost-$3514427.8%40 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8704…566cbacked No66c98.53$65 inWon+$33.56584.6%55 W · 10 L+11.4wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+29%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4222…0f20backed Yes35c97.89$34 inLost-$34.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf0…69c3backed Yes34c96.75$33 inLost-$32.93562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0188…afc3backed No65c89.99$58 inWon+$31.54537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ac…40d1backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No66c80.09$53 inWon+$27.282,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ff…3360backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes35c50$18 inLost-$17.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No66c35.99$24 inWon+$12.243,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed No66c22.84$15 inWon+$7.7721051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.