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Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Khaleej Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,310

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c6,739$3,714 inWon+$3,024.872748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club44c6,241$2,746 inLost-$2,745.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club46c4,091$1,885 inLost-$1,885.3587043%374 W · 496 L+24.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Hilal Saudi Club61c4,048$2,483 inWon+$1,564.432,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club46c3,026$1,378 inLost-$1,377.581,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club45c2,000$900 inLost-$9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c2,000$1,100 inWon+$9001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c1,903$1,061 inWon+$841.7739247.7%187 W · 205 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club51c1,408$718 inWon+$690.017364.4%47 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club18c1,007$186 inLost-$186.22,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c951.93$524 inWon+$428.371,19646.2%553 W · 643 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c721.86$411 inWon+$310.371,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club45c674.17$303 inLost-$303.389445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club48c479.12$231 inLost-$230.7214041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club43c363.21$156 inLost-$156.1835833%118 W · 240 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club48c300$144 inLost-$1443542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club54c150$81 inWon+$6959046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c127.27$70 inWon+$57.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club54c111$60 inWon+$51.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club43c100$43 inLost-$439840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c97.02$55 inWon+$41.889038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Al Hilal Saudi Club68c95$65 inWon+$30.216960.9%42 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club47c88.08$41 inLost-$41.385149%25 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club42c78.27$33 inLost-$32.8713543%58 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club50c77$39 inLost-$38.55927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club58c60$35 inWon+$24.9528746.3%133 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c57.84$32 inWon+$26.2919356%108 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4078…a7f7backed Al Hilal Saudi Club57c50$29 inWon+$21.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b8…a82abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c50$28 inWon+$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club43c44.07$19 inLost-$18.9599344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1300…d632backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c43.1$25 inWon+$18.16100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club56c41$23 inWon+$18.042,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…35acbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club55c40$22 inWon+$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Al Khaleej Saudi Club54c38.16$21 inLost-$20.5231146%143 W · 168 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…2aa3backed Al Hilal Saudi Club58c34.72$20 inWon+$14.723060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club57c34.04$19 inWon+$14.642458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fed…e9cabacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club46c32.61$15 inLost-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club56c30$17 inWon+$13.22181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club52c28.34$15 inWon+$13.611,80750.2%908 W · 899 L+32.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Al Hilal Saudi Club56c25.41$14 inWon+$11.2723855%131 W · 107 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Al Khaleej Saudi Club49c22.94$11 inLost-$11.149837.8%37 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Hilal Saudi Club56c19.99$11 inWon+$8.822348.9%109 W · 114 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Al Hilal Saudi Club55c18.35$10 inWon+$8.265151%26 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.