Asian League · resolved market
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2bd4999b6a5a33e633a3bb01f6252b503a30740741fc78619b258f005ae77c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 64c | 11,646$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.25 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 65c | 3,800$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.56 | 215 | 42.3%91 W · 124 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 2,833$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.33 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Under | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 1,597$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.88 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 59c | 1,236$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 1,135$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.95 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 1,011$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 925.34$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…35fcbacked Under | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 73c | 660.83$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 37c | 542.15$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 166$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 58c | 139.98$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Under | 42c | 131.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 87.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,365 | 45.5%621 W · 744 L | +14.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…4ab1backed Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…efc0backed Over | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 42c | 34.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 75c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 32.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 64c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Al Khaleej Saudi Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.