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Asian League · resolved market

Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c81…98b7backed Over47c6,403$3,000 inWon+$3,403.492536%9 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-33.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over39c3,334$1,308 inWon+$2,026.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,996$1,512 inLost-$1,511.982,62042%1,101 W · 1,519 L+51.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Under60c1,768$1,069 inLost-$1,068.685156.9%29 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over48c1,583$753 inWon+$830.045743.9%25 W · 32 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Over45c999.84$450 inWon+$549.917428.4%21 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c964.11$511 inLost-$510.981,19646.2%553 W · 643 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c949.74$531 inLost-$531.091,80436.6%660 W · 1,144 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked Under53c754.91$400 inLost-$400771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c704.48$378 inLost-$377.561,88250%941 W · 941 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under61c669.87$408 inLost-$407.630236.1%109 W · 193 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under50c354.18$177 inLost-$177.096848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over45c326.82$147 inWon+$179.752,65040.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L-17.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under53c313$166 inLost-$165.893345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over45c255.62$116 inWon+$139.9514041.4%58 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under56c250$141 inLost-$14198635.1%346 W · 640 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over42c203.24$86 inWon+$116.9889038.1%339 W · 551 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under48c188$90 inLost-$90.281,08441.5%450 W · 634 L-39.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c164.7$91 inLost-$90.562,07654.2%1,126 W · 950 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under54c151$81 inLost-$81.364142.7%274 W · 367 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3689…09aabacked Over77c130.03$100 inWon+$30.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over40c125$50 inWon+$753458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c86.26$31 inLost-$31.172,61237.8%988 W · 1,624 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under49c81$39 inLost-$39.3475743.7%331 W · 426 L-35.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under53c77$41 inLost-$40.8111845.8%54 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over40c58.2$23 inWon+$3559046.6%275 W · 315 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c46.69$20 inLost-$19.5199344.4%441 W · 552 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed Under58c41$24 inLost-$23.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3594…6533backed Under54c40$22 inLost-$21.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Over45c39.67$18 inWon+$21.685927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under53c39$21 inLost-$20.6721456.1%120 W · 94 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c36$20 inLost-$20.2849652.8%262 W · 234 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over36c34.5$12 inWon+$22.112864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under37c33.23$12 inLost-$12.176960.9%42 W · 27 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over41c32.36$13 inWon+$19.097356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over42c29.99$13 inWon+$17.392181%17 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over43c23.44$10 inWon+$13.391,57535.2%554 W · 1,021 L-36.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c23.36$13 inWon+$10.0423753.2%126 W · 111 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed Under59c18.61$11 inLost-$10.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under69c15$10 inLost-$10.3522954.1%124 W · 105 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.