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La Liga · resolved market

Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athletic Clubof FC Barcelona, Athletic Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed FC Barcelona38c66,188$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Athletic Club66c41,983$27,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,196.686434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Athletic Club62c31,557$19,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,991.7611055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletic Club64c25,743$16,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,205.011,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Athletic Club63c25,000$15,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1503100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Barcelona36c21,407$7,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,745.219943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletic Club63c14,897$9,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.995662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed FC Barcelona25c13,080$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,243.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+90.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Athletic Club63c12,000$7,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,397.121,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed FC Barcelona37c10,335$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.9513641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed FC Barcelona37c9,537$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed FC Barcelona33c9,322$3,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,083.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Athletic Club63c9,000$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,29010345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed FC Barcelona36c8,400$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…b04cbacked FC Barcelona37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed FC Barcelona37c6,818$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.841457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed FC Barcelona37c6,105$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletic Club63c5,910$3,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.7618146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletic Club64c5,561$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.2690543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletic Club63c5,261$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.6870356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed FC Barcelona37c4,830$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd5a…2351backed FC Barcelona37c4,100$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Athletic Club68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28011853.4%63 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletic Club65c3,804$2,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.251,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed FC Barcelona38c3,666$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.071020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Barcelona32c3,580$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.5115641%64 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Athletic Club63c3,174$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.8821944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed FC Barcelona38c2,800$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Athletic Club66c2,254$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.49661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Athletic Club73c2,143$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0564839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffbe…82cebacked FC Barcelona35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Athletic Club63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7401369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletic Club64c1,868$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5173549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Athletic Club65c1,653$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Athletic Club63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5923473.5%25 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+40.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ac3…e2c1backed FC Barcelona37c1,525$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.29520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6129…0807backed FC Barcelona11c1,511$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Athletic Club63c1,503$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7831631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd10…2c4dbacked FC Barcelona37c1,464$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe109…8ec3backed FC Barcelona36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Athletic Club73c1,256$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.181838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Athletic Club64c1,111$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.969841.8%41 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed FC Barcelona37c1,105$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0522539.6%89 W · 136 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked FC Barcelona34c1,059$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletic Club62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38051851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked FC Barcelona36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed FC Barcelona38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2390…a15fbacked Athletic Club65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde4…6453backed Athletic Club64c750.61$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5234…771cbacked Athletic Club69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletic Club67c658.29$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.731,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked FC Barcelona37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FC Barcelona36c521.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0754338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed FC Barcelona36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed FC Barcelona38c473.68$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed FC Barcelona28c468.62$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022344.4%99 W · 124 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Athletic Club57c443.89$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed FC Barcelona35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked FC Barcelona37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+107.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Barcelona37c360$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.26650%33 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed FC Barcelona16c351.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.114351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Barcelona38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1338645.3%39 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed FC Barcelona37c303.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Athletic Club64c282.05$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.671,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd87e…36fabacked FC Barcelona36c248.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Athletic Club63c237.23$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FC Barcelona31c235.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6717641.5%73 W · 103 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe04c…1c0cbacked FC Barcelona38c234.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed FC Barcelona23c230.17$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf58…bdeabacked FC Barcelona37c230$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Athletic Club63c229.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.922657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed FC Barcelona41c218.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Athletic Club75c209.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8418740.1%75 W · 112 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FC Barcelona21c208.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.763332.2%204 W · 429 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Athletic Club63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Athletic Club63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Athletic Club63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-51%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked FC Barcelona37c178.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FC Barcelona50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510837%40 W · 68 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31ad…089abacked FC Barcelona37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed FC Barcelona37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1366…4f56backed FC Barcelona20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+86.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Athletic Club68c146.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed FC Barcelona35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Athletic Club66c140.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked FC Barcelona37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.82638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Athletic Club63c139.8$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.732853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed FC Barcelona24c139$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3636744.7%164 W · 203 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked FC Barcelona36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed FC Barcelona37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502850%14 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked FC Barcelona37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a0…6702backed FC Barcelona37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed FC Barcelona37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…7639backed FC Barcelona37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FC Barcelona42c134.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9213943.9%61 W · 78 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d43…8bcdbacked Athletic Club63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed FC Barcelona42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Athletic Club63c118.05$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed FC Barcelona38c113.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked FC Barcelona35c111$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.