La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e53a8ddba55d08068775b68490cedf143a9a6eb888d62b84392f65f1804c71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 5,431$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.46 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Over | 59c | 1,862$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 73c | 1,318$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 78c | 918$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 809.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.6 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 80c | 780.94$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.19 | 531 | 49.5%263 W · 268 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 554.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 431 | 57.8%249 W · 182 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 19c | 474.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 298 | 35.6%106 W · 192 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 36c | 292.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 262.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 802 | 50.2%403 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 218.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 742 | 49.9%370 W · 372 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 73c | 172.6$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 172.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…af6bbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 518 | 51.9%269 W · 249 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 19c | 61.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…5562backed Over | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…6431backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 57c | 30.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 80c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.