La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9958820bf054cc6de431e97376ff39276b75c9786100c550f37115b6792e1eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 61c | 4,930$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.87 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 3,898$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.89 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 3,766$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.34 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 55c | 3,374$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.76 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Under | 50c | 2,956$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…6566backed Over | 56c | 2,787$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 1,904$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 223 | 43%96 W · 127 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 1,577$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.08 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,490$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.82 | 448 | 38.4%172 W · 276 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Over | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 1,130$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.7 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 871.73$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.37 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 665.89$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.19 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 649.22$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.34 | 518 | 51.9%269 W · 249 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 44c | 600.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 531 | 49.5%263 W · 268 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Over | 56c | 548.28$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 503.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.01 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 435.92$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.53 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 414.13$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…2ff1backed Over | 51c | 247.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Over | 47c | 244.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 31c | 231$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 192$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.01 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…8011backed Over | 48c | 146.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…261ebacked Over | 56c | 124.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 52c | 124$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Over | 51c | 122.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Under | 44c | 113$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…b092backed Over | 56c | 106.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 49c | 101.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 46c | 89.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…0f26backed Over | 56c | 77.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…3ae9backed Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 70.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…2a65backed Over | 29c | 65.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 64.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 735 | 49.7%365 W · 370 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 62.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…3a09backed Under | 45c | 55.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 56c | 41.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 50c | 41.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 57c | 39.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 35.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Under | 49c | 35.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Over | 53c | 28.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…3c54backed Over | 40c | 28.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…1764backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…1d02backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 52c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…6bf1backed Over | 54c | 18.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.