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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Under3c45,743$1,182 inLost-$1,182.0521944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under2c45,106$992 inLost-$992.333321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb309…2f7dbacked Under2c9,465$232 inLost-$232.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under3c6,632$199 inLost-$198.552729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under2c6,042$133 inLost-$132.9211055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under3c5,555$139 inLost-$138.879841.8%41 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under14c3,732$521 inLost-$520.9375157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under3c2,934$88 inLost-$88.028541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under3c2,500$64 inLost-$64.376650%33 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedc…36c0backed Under3c515.83$15 inLost-$15.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under8c307.37$25 inLost-$24.52585.2%3 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Under7c247.06$16 inLost-$16.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Under10c195$20 inLost-$19.550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.