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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$538,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$760,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under10c182,615$18,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,261.553321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under20c23,559$4,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,819.286434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under23c15,769$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,643.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c9,132$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.51,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over78c7,642$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7990543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c5,702$4,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.893,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under14c4,682$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.928541.2%35 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under10c4,608$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.32,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under25c4,521$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.221,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under11c4,233$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6121944.3%97 W · 122 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under10c4,207$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6711055.5%61 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under10c4,188$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.853630.6%11 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,369$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.696939.1%27 W · 42 L+12.9wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+115%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over64c3,307$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.722045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under7c2,364$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0316234%55 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over75c2,068$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2864839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under12c1,806$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.7822343%96 W · 127 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over78c1,555$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056656.1%37 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under10c1,240$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9680250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under10c1,141$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5774249.9%370 W · 372 L+2.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over56c1,137$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under21c1,111$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0375157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-59.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051851.9%269 W · 249 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under10c975$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.518146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over60c883$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over60c777$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.82450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Over72c600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over79c599$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7910368%70 W · 33 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under27c547.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Over57c514.16$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.091050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over60c513.83$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.533756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under10c512$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.214058.6%82 W · 58 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029835.6%106 W · 192 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17523455.6%130 W · 104 L+18.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under11c465$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over80c440.68$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1644838.4%172 W · 276 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under12c420.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6473549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under29c318.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9413943.9%61 W · 78 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Over80c309$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over60c294.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.843174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+56.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5234…771cbacked Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afa…2babbacked Over75c269.16$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under12c251.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9248548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over75c249.35$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3689…09aabacked Over80c247.16$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Under18c228.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.092231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under46c207.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over64c199.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016226.5%43 W · 119 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under36c138.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333857.9%22 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over76c131.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5636744.7%164 W · 203 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263278.1%25 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over79c124.05$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.051877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c117.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.654,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over63c105.41$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391040%4 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Over62c105$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e14…5169backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3447540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under19c94.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…95ddbacked Under15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over55c88.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Under23c80.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under17c74.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4523740.1%95 W · 142 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over58c59.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Over66c55.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.913250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over80c49.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9929246.9%137 W · 155 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.086342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Under24c41.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad26…6838backed Over77c32.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8227…f436backed Over79c31.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+79.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5d…7595backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over77c25.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8915641%64 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.834250%171 W · 171 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over74c19.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…e969backed Over77c15.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.