TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$237,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over37c32,996$12,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,183.1290543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under62c23,809$14,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,993.136434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over48c20,817$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002425%6 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under64c15,423$9,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,628.693751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over49c12,657$6,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,262.4419943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c8,013$3,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086.7522539.6%89 W · 136 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c7,542$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.573,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under69c7,202$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Under56c6,500$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c6,309$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c5,735$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.0164839.5%256 W · 392 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under53c5,349$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5273842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c5,248$2,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,622.0770356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c5,095$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.431,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Over43c3,785$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under50c3,521$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.4818146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over44c3,429$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.549939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5309151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over30c2,858$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.731050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under49c2,652$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.611136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2502835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2751540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over52c2,475$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2878450%42 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c2,367$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.161,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c2,313$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.264,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c2,252$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.971,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under51c2,212$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.763056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Over34c2,157$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.921936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.285149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98fc…a4a2backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9928147.3%133 W · 148 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under48c1,911$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.163321.2%7 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under63c1,908$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.0923859.2%141 W · 97 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+52.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under50c1,782$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.553732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Over49c1,376$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over46c1,349$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.352334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c1,215$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.5748548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c1,170$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9373549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c1,043$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2354338.5%209 W · 334 L+2.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Over46c944.8$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.891050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under50c911.84$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.841,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb341…88e7backed Over50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Under51c870.59$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.591450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c857.15$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8744838.4%172 W · 276 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over33c771.64$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.642010%2 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0e7…9461backed Over38c743.4$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Over42c739.97$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…7249backed Over51c617.65$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over51c572.38$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3611337.2%42 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.336100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over50c528.85$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.618852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over50c516.07$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4831631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005846.6%27 W · 31 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under51c512.55$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.152962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under52c512$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7614058.6%82 W · 58 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043157.8%249 W · 182 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b0…180dbacked Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Over39c457.13$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over44c454.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003560%21 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over31c438.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.234344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over8c411.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.415831%18 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c405.86$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.131,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over51c339.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.42913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over25c327$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.823534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0a…a9e0backed Over47c306.38$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under56c277.77$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.72450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over20c256.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2613943.9%61 W · 78 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Over51c253.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.52972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.580250.2%403 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.547540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…3b57backed Under78c248.12$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.49366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over41c223.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4387939.9%351 W · 528 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over46c219.54$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9920161.7%124 W · 77 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027144.6%121 W · 150 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c199.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9111249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473c…22fdbacked Under49c187$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Under53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over37c182$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.165839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over46c181.87$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.043756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under63c179.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over44c171.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.424542.2%19 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over50c171$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0213641.9%57 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over44c170.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.310837%40 W · 68 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Under50c168$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over52c163.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under61c162$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1836744.7%164 W · 203 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under52c153.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.852254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.511056.4%62 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over11c140.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.825335.8%19 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c88…3335backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb50…430cbacked Over46c137.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.