La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530200708726e5031490fa502d4b3ce1ad5b6b25f89b3cb82530454fd198c524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 3,637$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.1 | 1,138 | 32.4%369 W · 769 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…8723backed Under | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,778$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.57 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 36c | 1,513$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 41c | 1,059$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 60c | 906.25$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 79c | 882.72$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 33c | 756.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Under | 5c | 643.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +267.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 65c | 610.88$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 597.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 510.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 41c | 476.3$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Over | 51c | 400.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 393$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 879 | 39.9%351 W · 528 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 35c | 388.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 32c | 373.46$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 34c | 351.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 53c | 296.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 43c | 248.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 192.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Under | 60c | 191.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 77c | 130.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fc…2b03backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 67c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 72.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 428 | 58.4%250 W · 178 L | +31.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 43c | 69.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 80c | 69.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 66c | 57.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 65c | 51.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…0093backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 50c | 41.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…0ac8backed Over | 44c | 35.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 70c | 35.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 38c | 32.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.