La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e5bd2b809f391161b07464967efd0897083157cea48a48fd1963d4030b96dad

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6c81…98b7backed Over	48c	30,940$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,349.95	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	53c	9,332$4,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,357.94	3,546	42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L	+28.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over	39c	8,054$3,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,151.83	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	45c	6,603$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972.06	1,138	32.4%369 W · 769 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	5,033$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,393.33	1,267	51.3%650 W · 617 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	49c	4,752$2,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,328.68	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	51c	4,250$2,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,090	802	50.2%403 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over	52c	3,573$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850.13	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	52c	3,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	742	49.9%370 W · 372 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	64c	2,332$1,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$835.66	1,612	38.4%619 W · 993 L	+9.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under	51c	2,083$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.9	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.98	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	51c	1,600$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.98	735	49.7%365 W · 370 L	+14.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	1,345$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.42	703	56.2%395 W · 308 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	50c	1,339$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.79	225	39.6%89 W · 136 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	1,288$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.2	316	31.6%100 W · 216 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under	51c	1,092$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.98	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	50c	1,042$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.23	518	51.9%269 W · 249 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	49c	1,002$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.16	1,086	48.2%523 W · 563 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over	51c	942.08$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.74	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over	45c	761.54$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.93	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under	49c	680.95$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.28	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	48c	653.85$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340	531	49.5%263 W · 268 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	108	58.3%63 W · 45 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	55c	543.18$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.43	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	51c	400$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	100	54%54 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	51c	256$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.44	140	58.6%82 W · 58 L	+12.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	32c	249.38$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.14	108	37%40 W · 68 L	-10.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-36%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	49c	238.27$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.75	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	51c	221$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.97	1,635	51.6%844 W · 791 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29d6…43a5backed Over	23c	208.39$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	135	62.2%84 W · 51 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	133	62.4%83 W · 50 L	+9.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	124	66.1%82 W · 42 L	+12.6wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	129	58.9%76 W · 53 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	51c	156$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.44	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	46c	122$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.18	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	47c	105.08$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.69	543	38.5%209 W · 334 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	51c	102$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.98	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8366…54ffbacked Under	77c	100.47$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.11	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over	23c	100.47$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Under	52c	99.98$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under	73c	94.78$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.83	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+17.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	146	50.7%74 W · 72 L	-6.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	52c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	24c	76.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	115	47.8%55 W · 60 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	33c	58.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.08	176	41.5%73 W · 103 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	28c	57.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x69f0…bfe8backed Over	49c	57.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6c…dad3backed Over	48c	56.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over	49c	55.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.31	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	32c	53.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.98	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under	49c	51$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	22c	49.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under	51c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.05	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	59cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2e…9459backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c7…8017backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89a…b742backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over	41c	36.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Under	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a69…228fbacked Under	50c	26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	49c	25.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Under	52c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+21%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…0ac8backed Over	53c	20.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…9793backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	98	60.2%59 W · 39 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	101	54.5%55 W · 46 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	51c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.8	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event