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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,443 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e63…ed53backed Yes25c9,286$2,319 inLost-$2,319.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No75c5,006$3,754 inWon+$1,251.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c1,981$1,486 inWon+$495.681,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1e…e28fbacked Yes23c1,364$316 inLost-$315.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No76c1,299$982 inWon+$316.7411547.8%55 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c1,250$947 inWon+$302.51,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No80c702.85$562 inWon+$140.579661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c692.85$139 inLost-$138.571,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c400$300 inWon+$10070356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Yes23c213.04$49 inLost-$493531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c132.7$31 inLost-$30.5222539.6%89 W · 136 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c118.32$24 inLost-$23.661,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80d…d09fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No75c100$75 inWon+$2522343%96 W · 127 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c50$39 inWon+$11.514650.7%74 W · 72 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No75c25$19 inWon+$6.2514552.4%76 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.