La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e08c5900d9846769cf346d965ac98926d7a9140bbffd83eba2908b44227b7bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 26c | 16,726$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.76 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 11c | 5,740$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.5 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 30c | 3,483$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 70c | 3,425$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.36 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 70c | 3,289$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.9 | 703 | 56.2%395 W · 308 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 70c | 3,196$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 1,267 | 51.3%650 W · 617 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 2,865$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.28 | 1,086 | 48.2%523 W · 563 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 31c | 2,806$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.86 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 2,394$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 30c | 1,821$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.74 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 70c | 1,590$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.78 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 29c | 1,212$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 203 | 22.2%45 W · 158 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Over | 14c | 986.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 947.74$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.53 | 543 | 38.5%209 W · 334 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 31c | 850$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 848.71$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 1,612 | 38.4%619 W · 993 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…252abacked Over | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 76c | 764.53$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Under | 70c | 755.03$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 10c | 564.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 485 | 48.9%237 W · 248 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 70c | 512$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 71c | 456.62$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…9461backed Over | 23c | 289.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 182.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 1,635 | 51.6%844 W · 791 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 27c | 182$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 17c | 179.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under | 71c | 178.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 16c | 155.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 70c | 131.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…dce0backed Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9175backed Over | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…6117backed Over | 12c | 105.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 22c | 99.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 475 | 40.8%194 W · 281 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 70c | 91.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 237 | 40.1%95 W · 142 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfb…2ac5backed Under | 71c | 68.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 17c | 66.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 448 | 38.4%172 W · 276 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Under | 75c | 57.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 77c | 50.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 367 | 44.7%164 W · 203 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd852…6267backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 72c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Under | 70c | 34.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c82…6f49backed Under | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 29.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…4678backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…3983backed Under | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.