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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: FC Barcelona 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,707 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e63…ed53backed Over40c3,737$1,500 inLost-$1,500742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under60c2,548$1,529 inWon+$1,019.212161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under69c1,498$1,032 inWon+$465.489661.5%59 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over31c753$233 inLost-$233.431,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over31c599.68$187 inLost-$186.876434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c500$298 inWon+$202.51,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under60c300$180 inWon+$12070356.2%395 W · 308 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under59c288.52$170 inWon+$118.2911354.9%62 W · 51 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c213.91$134 inWon+$79.921,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost-$501250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f60…c8bfbacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+116.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over39c55.1$21 inLost-$21.492045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over37c42.56$16 inLost-$15.7831631.6%100 W · 216 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.