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La Liga · resolved market

FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: Athletic Club O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,185 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Over45c21,053$9,480 inLost-$9,480.15683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under55c14,587$8,023 inWon+$6,564.222161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c5,099$2,468 inWon+$2,631.731,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c3,237$1,716 inWon+$1,52122343%96 W · 127 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86eb…6566backed Over59c2,349$1,386 inLost-$1,385.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over55c1,820$1,002 inLost-$1,001.916434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c943.03$522 inWon+$420.5848548.9%237 W · 248 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under43c676$293 inWon+$383.3619943.2%86 W · 113 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c637.2$287 inWon+$350.4618146.4%84 W · 97 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over56c127.55$71 inLost-$71.431,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c123.56$68 inLost-$67.961,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Under43c116.28$50 inWon+$66.2823540.4%95 W · 140 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3176…fd81backed Under45c76.61$34 inWon+$42.45100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Over46c58.7$27 inLost-$27580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+112.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e1c…b6a0backed Over57c43.86$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Under45c29$13 inWon+$15.954845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Under76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over56c25$14 inLost-$142055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c23.26$13 inWon+$1073549.7%365 W · 370 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c23$10 inWon+$12.881,13832.4%369 W · 769 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c23$11 inLost-$10.8114552.4%76 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Under59c20$12 inWon+$8.21040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.