La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50d3d911f79fa89cc245196565cf5c084867dbe124382ac80d22cd07c31f8129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed No | 72c | 25,195$18,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.81 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 20,494$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.8 | 4,856 | 47%2,282 W · 2,574 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 79c | 18,301$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.24 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Yes | 50c | 16,443$8,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,273.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 14,090$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.91 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 20c | 12,200$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 21c | 9,395$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.95 | 532 | 49.4%263 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 71c | 9,368$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690.81 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 9,093$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.08 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 9,006$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,697.72 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Yes | 20c | 6,766$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 30c | 5,843$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.12 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 21c | 5,718$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 74c | 5,681$4,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.33 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 60c | 5,149$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.47 | 483 | 38.3%185 W · 298 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 4,344$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.35 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 31c | 4,211$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.14 | 242 | 59.5%144 W · 98 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…3979backed No | 42c | 3,982$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 36c | 3,799$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 34c | 3,559$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 2c | 2,938$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 2,816$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.99 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 74c | 2,707$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.47 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,628$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 47c | 2,548$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.7 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 64c | 2,528$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 2,366$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.06 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 284 | 47.2%134 W · 150 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 21c | 1,980$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,942$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 26c | 1,891$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 21c | 1,862$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Yes | 80c | 1,856$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 36c | 1,650$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 40c | 1,593$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.93 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 23c | 1,379$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Yes | 78c | 1,344$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 1,324$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.19 | 477 | 40.9%195 W · 282 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 62c | 1,290$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…30f6backed No | 79c | 1,289$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…41bcbacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 35c | 1,171$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.99 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…2d18backed Yes | 68c | 1,140$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,136$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 1,064$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 78c | 1,024$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,004$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 220 | 22.3%49 W · 171 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 25.6%23 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 979.16$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.46 | 647 | 32.3%209 W · 438 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 20c | 975$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…12e2backed Yes | 26c | 963.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6d74backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…b168backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +240.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed Yes | 26c | 961.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 960.02$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 724 | 55.8%404 W · 320 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 24c | 942.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Yes | 68c | 888.53$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 63c | 882.7$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 25c | 865.65$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…8ae9backed Yes | 22c | 801.45$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 20c | 800$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 202 | 25.2%51 W · 151 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 32c | 790.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 40c | 782$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 244 | 61.9%151 W · 93 L | +21.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 19c | 779.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 250 | 26.8%67 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…deabbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +241.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Yes | 58c | 711.47$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 78c | 706.67$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 23c | 666.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 61c | 640$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 635.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23a…d952backed Yes | 68c | 604.27$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 18c | 602.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 431 | 57.8%249 W · 182 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 79c | 599.98$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 48c | 599.32$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 71c | 593$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 52c | 560.85$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 77c | 560.03$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yes | 22c | 539.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 21c | 532.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 17c | 506.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.78 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 492.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 862 | 50.2%433 W · 429 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 24c | 488$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 186 | 61.3%114 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Yes | 22c | 461.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 23.3%17 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…2428backed Yes | 20c | 453.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 439.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 21c | 410$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 274 | 41.2%113 W · 161 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 398$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 46c | 389.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 78c | 375.96$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 14c | 370.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.