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La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No34c19,161$6,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,534.163,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c17,152$13,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,003.9667839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…d2b1backed Yes73c13,662$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes25c11,353$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,514.7210339.8%41 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes27c10,694$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,788.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c8,522$6,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,186.1814646.6%68 W · 78 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa462…7b59backed Yes50c6,999$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes72c5,947$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.331957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No54c5,548$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.4448338.3%185 W · 298 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c3,961$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.894,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No57c3,702$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.5220055.5%111 W · 89 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No75c3,600$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No15c3,572$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.071,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No28c2,735$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.742748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No52c2,427$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.9424259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No62c2,359$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.153644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No75c2,269$1,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.5319847.5%94 W · 104 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes25c1,975$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.258949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No54c1,869$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.5292443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c1,828$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.621,46645%659 W · 807 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No71c1,671$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.163773%27 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes27c1,491$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.853132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No31c1,439$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.932429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Yes25c1,260$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes50c1,168$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.411442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No30c1,137$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7451048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No32c1,101$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.7832635.3%115 W · 211 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75080950.3%407 W · 402 L+1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes71c1,000$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.195062%31 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes25c961.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.1574949.8%373 W · 376 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes25c929.92$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4422022.3%49 W · 171 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked No73c919.88$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.951136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick15cpaid+288.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes73c900$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c762.82$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1272455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes49c714.59$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.449168.1%62 W · 29 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No27c708.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7627441.2%113 W · 161 L+15.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes23c663.26$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.7189139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes49c651.59$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0f…9304backed Yes38c611.21$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes25c567.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.734744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes49c560$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8824461.9%151 W · 93 L+21.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes45c541.67$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9238144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c528.74$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6261048%293 W · 317 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes44c527.34$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8536434.9%127 W · 237 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked No3c515.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.465016%8 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No49c512$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.884250%21 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107324.7%18 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Yes28c500$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No63c476.57$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.121650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed Yes23c472$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No68c439.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.965532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No75c432$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed Yes50c423.27$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6565…c235backed Yes74c400$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a1…63aebacked Yes75c399.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No49c389.1$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.666744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed No66c385$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No52c362.65$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.264420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-66.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No55c350$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.956950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed No29c349.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes39c349.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.86139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes22c322.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.931050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c316.03$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.671,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No50c300.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.99119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No49c287.04$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6523852.5%125 W · 113 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.713138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes18c277.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.774854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes19c273.13$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.817039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No78c269.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2218839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No65c247.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.898046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No67c246$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.793345.3%423 W · 510 L-30.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes19c236.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.844431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No47c235.94$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.413756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No61c231$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.88445.2%38 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe366…6de2backed Yes37c207$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Yes27c205.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…7ee3backed Yes34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48f5…698cbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+65.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked No65c190.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick70cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes20c187.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+117.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No33c179.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.074351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No52c170.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8624540%98 W · 147 L-17.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dca…da77backed Yes24c168.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+112.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes58c166.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.488262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No67c159.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10763558%368 W · 267 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No78c159.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.581546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No61c156.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2911845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c149.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2515450.6%78 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No25c149.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4910450%52 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes26c148.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6210129.7%30 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes26c146.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.152450%12 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes26c141.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5133531.3%105 W · 230 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.22035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+67.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Yes25c136$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Yes73c135.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.