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La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,309,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,341,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,309,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes55c271,700$148,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148,718.051729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes53c198,385$105,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,143.843522.9%8 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed No47c95,755$44,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,800.568100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+90.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadea…b96dbacked No47c75,214$35,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,863.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+69%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa099…b806backed Yes56c37,130$20,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,607.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No47c34,198$16,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,194.588949.4%44 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes56c32,538$18,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,325.851225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c29,561$13,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,104.421,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked No45c26,180$11,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,396.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No45c26,085$11,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,346.622853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No45c25,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,7506740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No47c24,213$11,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,832.786338.1%24 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c23,514$11,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,177.0992443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No45c23,016$10,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,595.394447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c22,356$12,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,230.464,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No45c21,372$9,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,753.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No45c21,227$9,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,618.297722.1%17 W · 60 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes49c20,750$10,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,148.2867839.2%266 W · 412 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No60c20,100$12,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0403050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.993727%10 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No34c20,000$6,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,149.9718050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed No50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc41b…cc4bbacked No45c18,400$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,120450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes44c13,583$5,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,977.213030%9 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes55c12,980$7,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No46c12,312$5,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.4810339.8%41 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No46c11,804$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.735761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No79c11,192$8,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.761,18732.4%385 W · 802 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes38c10,261$3,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,879.232334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b08…02abbacked No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+115.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdc1…bdd8backed No51c9,770$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,769.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes74c8,791$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes51c8,770$4,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,490.716936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf584…3979backed Yes12c8,134$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes6c8,102$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2817039.4%67 W · 103 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes17c7,563$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.713740.5%15 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.23per pick18cpaid+149.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No45c7,345$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,039.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c7,133$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.3151048.6%248 W · 262 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No47c6,660$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c6,521$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.3453249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No46c6,473$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.383336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No46c6,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2707153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes53c5,714$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.3420942.6%89 W · 120 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No46c5,555$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.961844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No43c5,525$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.4611355.8%63 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes32c5,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.999428.7%27 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c4,908$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.381,64538.6%635 W · 1,010 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No49c4,888$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No70c4,297$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.378262.2%51 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No47c4,285$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.272429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes37c4,267$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.873,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No46c4,255$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.77875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No74c4,047$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.67861.5%48 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No46c3,854$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.5817451.7%90 W · 84 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No46c3,660$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.411539.1%45 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed No45c3,570$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes45c3,421$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.8518839.9%75 W · 113 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No46c3,396$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.6772455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa462…7b59backed Yes60c3,154$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No66c3,010$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0117561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No68c2,855$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes37c2,806$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.112045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed Yes54c2,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No49c2,744$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.99729.9%29 W · 68 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c2,673$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.532,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes59c2,647$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5521330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes53c2,541$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.856051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No77c2,522$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.6724259.5%144 W · 98 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2b2…bb8abacked Yes47c2,501$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c2,428$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.4256538.1%215 W · 350 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No46c2,402$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.046842.6%29 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked No57c2,400$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes35c2,355$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf45…401fbacked Yes17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes19c2,302$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Yes53c2,255$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.551154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.122744.5%101 W · 126 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No47c2,170$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes47c2,139$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.0538144.9%171 W · 210 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes43c2,096$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.7512968.2%88 W · 41 L+29.5wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+79.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe16e…12e2backed Yes17c2,059$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0605743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10028447.2%134 W · 150 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.973240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No47c1,979$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.9152152%271 W · 250 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No56c1,948$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.142748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No46c1,946$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.764233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No43c1,939$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.9422644.7%101 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No46c1,840$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.