Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd42d93a066362ac1943238adf5d06e004d94d0f27393c7bec8d87a5b3c9d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 48c | 13,540$6,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 43c | 12,569$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,205.89 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 53c | 4,771$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.31 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 47c | 3,416$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 3,260$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.03 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Yes | 27c | 2,428$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed Yes | 25c | 2,161$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 2,039$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.02 | 215 | 66%142 W · 73 L | +29.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 74c | 2,015$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.21 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 38c | 1,769$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 1,670$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.86 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 59c | 1,497$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.29 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 60c | 1,472$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.67 | 175 | 59.4%104 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,439$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.75 | 757 | 43.7%331 W · 426 L | -35.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 67c | 1,324$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.23 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 809.92$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…1296backed Yes | 25c | 799.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 73c | 788.47$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 166 | 71.1%118 W · 48 L | +33.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 75c | 666.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 224 | 74.1%166 W · 58 L | +45.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 30c | 608.27$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 36c | 497.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 20c | 495.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 482$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 1,084 | 41.5%450 W · 634 L | -39.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 71c | 471.95$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 39c | 439$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed No | 39c | 419.07$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 5c | 375$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 357.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 75c | 333.15$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 41c | 298$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yes | 32c | 285.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes | 33c | 246.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 20c | 244.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Yes | 33c | 238$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Yes | 39c | 220.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 37c | 218.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 21c | 213.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked No | 77c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Yes | 26c | 171.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 63c | 152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 25c | 151.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 61c | 148.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 20c | 144.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Yes | 72c | 126$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 35c | 114.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 55c | 108.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 67c | 107.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 105.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 37c | 97.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…09a3backed No | 61c | 96.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a554backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x887c…565abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 34c | 76.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 40c | 75.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Yes | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed No | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 23c | 61.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 337 | 49.6%167 W · 170 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 20c | 52.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 46c | 51.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 77c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 58c | 36.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 57c | 27.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 44c | 26.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 70c | 26.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 43c | 23.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.