Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1b4aa67ad298619123a8366a13a988f10e84aaca69277a71dcef87437a18b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 13c | 8,538$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 52c | 4,443$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 4,304$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.04 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 4,053$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.03 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 3,524$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.3 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 2,382$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.9 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 50c | 1,853$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.61 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 1,184$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.37 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 21c | 1,119$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Yes | 13c | 769.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 49c | 466.96$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed No | 49c | 462.3$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 6c | 388.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…355ebacked Yes | 10c | 343.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 58c | 313$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yes | 6c | 298$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 238.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 75c | 231.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 51c | 218.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 12c | 216.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…5a30backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 42c | 189.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Yes | 10c | 188.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 185$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 13c | 172.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 149.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 362 | 55%199 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 142$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 57c | 127.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 52c | 110.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 11c | 103.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 57c | 93.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 87.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 255 | 61.6%157 W · 98 L | +17.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Yes | 51c | 71.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 66.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 54c | 52.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 284 | 53.2%151 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 47c | 44.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…7116backed No | 46c | 41.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 48c | 41.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 54c | 40.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked No | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 54c | 32.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 54c | 30.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 52c | 22.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 214 | 56.1%120 W · 94 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6b…c045backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?this page
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.