Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01b4000fabb975234003fc2da9cb8551647a5083e44c26b947ce312587d8f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 2,726$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.53 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 13c | 1,701$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 3c | 531$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 40c | 284.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 222.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 14c | 214.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 14c | 210.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 27c | 193.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 68c | 183.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 26c | 144$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked Yes | 75c | 132.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 16c | 123.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 32c | 117.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…a898backed Yes | 26c | 91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +280.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 72c | 80.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 362 | 55%199 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 60.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 77c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 28c | 45.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 57c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.