Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf881e20c20969cd2f0fd59e6e3f0d61b0a4ec5598176c57ee5472c1caae62c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 6,394$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 49c | 3,765$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 52c | 2,595$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.65 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Yes | 52c | 2,530$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.68 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 1,688$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.99 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 1,421$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.45 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 49c | 1,103$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.47 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 931.67$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.15 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 54c | 926.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 47c | 775.32$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 31c | 615.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.86 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 61c | 464.56$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 3c | 437.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 340.46$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 299.29$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 20c | 291.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 11c | 276.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 234.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 51c | 197.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.57 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 49c | 197.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 187.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…6e3fbacked Yes | 38c | 178.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 177.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 38c | 149.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 40c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 132.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 76c | 132.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 38c | 130.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 49c | 116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 111.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…b119backed Yes | 58c | 97.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 45c | 96.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 51c | 94.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 76.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 50c | 76.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 63c | 72.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 58c | 70.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 49c | 65.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 36c | 63.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 41c | 58.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 40c | 56.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 52c | 54.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 22c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…a76dbacked Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 52c | 46.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…2aa3backed Yes | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 58c | 42.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 53c | 42.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 48c | 38.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9974backed Yes | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 41c | 29.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 56c | 25.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…22fdbacked Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 54c | 21.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 51c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 223 | 48.9%109 W · 114 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,531 | 55%842 W · 689 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.