Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5267d609115599475dec54e7638699fded59a3da5b89295f7c087de80f0889
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 32c | 2,287$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.77 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 1,398$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.55 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 723.05$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 65c | 714.15$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.86 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 653$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 326.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 284.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 265.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 32c | 248.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 80c | 229.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 227.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 119.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 70c | 100.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 78c | 75.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 75c | 66.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…5709backed Yes | 26c | 60.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 45.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 74c | 36.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 71c | 36.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 70c | 35.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.