Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63fc42334155ffa7493ace7f0a2eb6e0740690cba37a1ebff072ab0eca2eee27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 8,243$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.18 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 72c | 4,746$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.42 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 77c | 1,178$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.15 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 893.76$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.64 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 75c | 871$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 25c | 871$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.25 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 78c | 573.93$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 560.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 290.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 27c | 265$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.45 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 78c | 193.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 76c | 178.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.77 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…c53bbacked No | 18c | 134.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 23c | 120.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 56c | 117.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 108.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 35c | 106.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 36c | 95.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 24c | 89.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 73c | 87.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 60c | 84.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 72c | 81.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 202 | 60.4%122 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 76c | 67.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Yes | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yes | 68c | 58.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 23c | 57.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 31c | 56.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 23c | 55.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 43c | 51.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 31c | 44.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d41…abeabacked No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Yes | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 33c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 67c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 65c | 22.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 55c | 22.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.