Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2aa0b6cc76d14481cb64d6badcbf50f8d9081c02e84ddfcd6f13afbb9e758af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 41c | 38,235$15,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,637.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 59c | 15,953$9,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,530.05 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 61c | 10,000$6,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 6,605$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.25 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 59c | 4,453$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 3,512$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.19 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 60c | 1,786$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 720.77$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 2c | 619.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 516.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.18 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 443.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.73 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 390.62$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.34 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 267$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 260$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…2c01backed No | 72c | 168.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 59c | 138.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…79f7backed Yes | 45c | 122.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 71c | 101.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 59c | 94.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 94.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 92.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 78.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 74.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 31c | 73.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 39c | 71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 59c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 55.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 39c | 47.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 59c | 40.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 28.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.