Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e6d1f48d9d75180170d206a9b4b76ce6f1818c48ef54ea6e4c57d8816fb91a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 3,006$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.47 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 1,997$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.05 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 1,248$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.58 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 1,174$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.16 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 34c | 674.32$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.05 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 69c | 518.87$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 16c | 493.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 388.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 342.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304f…af95backed Yes | 30c | 326.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 246.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Yes | 31c | 245.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 191$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 71c | 181.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 170.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 34c | 140.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 140.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 104.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 43c | 98.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 40c | 82.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 75.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 64.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 66c | 61.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 73c | 61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Yes | 35c | 54.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 34c | 54.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 51.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 44.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 55c | 41.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 31c | 40.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 36c | 33.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 33.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 54c | 30.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 28.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…358bbacked Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 22.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked No | 55c | 21.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 20.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.