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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$942,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$951,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $942,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes56c102,679$57,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,50040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No62c100,229$61,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,565.157247.2%34 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes23c92,481$21,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,359.7724746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c75,145$44,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,071.0334035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Yes55c62,520$34,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,653.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes56c55,727$31,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,255.733847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No44c53,216$23,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,800.915341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No44c50,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,999.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No43c29,799$12,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,985.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Yes56c28,299$15,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,847.6930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c23,783$10,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,301.0355349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes58c21,737$12,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,607.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes58c18,849$10,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,961.73357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes32c18,079$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.122441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No48c18,001$8,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,446.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No42c17,671$7,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,221.482524%6 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No44c15,950$7,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,931.971060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes50c15,592$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes57c14,108$8,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,058.296651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No45c12,976$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,103.763138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c12,592$5,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,103.334850%24 W · 24 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked No48c10,373$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Yes21c10,155$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes56c9,922$5,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,556.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No44c8,874$3,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,969.311040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c8,850$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c8,655$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.671,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…cf29backed Yes46c8,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c7,978$3,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.1635347.6%168 W · 185 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes57c7,348$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No47c7,059$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,748.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes49c6,910$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.967834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked No69c6,872$4,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed No44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No73c6,504$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No43c6,474$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705.3532048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9e…936ebacked No42c6,112$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No42c5,603$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bc…2289backed Yes55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes3c5,308$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a92…3c67backed Yes57c5,249$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked No47c5,106$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes57c5,000$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes51c5,000$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5401369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No42c4,966$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.51650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes44c4,895$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.481338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+373.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed No42c4,762$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes32c4,758$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.9615250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes33c4,725$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No44c4,600$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.982142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No44c4,504$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No74c4,480$3,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…b631backed Yes26c4,478$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No60c4,216$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes16c4,130$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.141533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9191…5982backed Yes31c4,087$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2006547.7%31 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Yes55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No43c3,844$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2085349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes8c3,600$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.98425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes50c3,512$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7508834.1%30 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c3,250$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81024443.4%106 W · 138 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No69c3,195$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.8911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked No62c3,174$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c3,136$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.84148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes37c3,008$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Yes57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32be…6da7backed Yes58c2,963$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No44c2,842$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca64…4f43backed Yes14c2,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes27c2,473$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No44c2,473$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.591154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b29…ab1cbacked Yes57c2,411$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed No42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c2,272$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.2624948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes27c2,247$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.732544%11 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No45c2,239$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.7413637.5%51 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c2,183$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.5888644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes54c2,140$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No44c2,139$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.811338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes27c2,028$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1008451.2%43 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1202853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffbe…82cebacked Yes55c2,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c1,985$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.1127441.6%114 W · 160 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x615b…9591backed Yes56c1,964$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes55c1,960$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.994351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes58c1,951$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes27c1,832$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Yes56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24e…1be8backed No68c1,790$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+159.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes56c1,790$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No78c1,786$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.332937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.