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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c78…77f1backed No76c27,604$20,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,979.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes25c17,690$4,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,309.2734035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Yes25c16,620$4,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,535.462441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No74c15,280$11,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,307.132740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No75c15,255$11,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,441.252835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Yes24c12,222$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,288.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes26c10,000$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,401.68650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+64.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No76c10,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c7,348$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,584.7688644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes71c6,722$4,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.341764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c6,352$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.871,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c5,469$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,921.7924746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes29c3,296$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c3,028$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.82850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes27c2,739$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.461070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+120.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes23c2,643$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc48f…7527backed Yes25c2,220$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Yes26c2,137$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.251533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c1,989$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.5932048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed No77c1,902$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.5430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c1,869$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8615250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24e…1be8backed Yes25c1,851$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+159.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b5d…6c7fbacked Yes30c1,769$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No76c1,669$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.125349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes29c1,505$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.563342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e42…f5bbbacked No74c1,417$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes29c1,413$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.911145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Yes5c1,042$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.771100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,983.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c1,028$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.9135347.6%168 W · 185 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb18…9897backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa901…e637backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes30c987.13$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.931291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+46.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c975.78$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.3527441.6%114 W · 160 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c962.04$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.9311344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes6c951.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.426434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Yes28c885.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…b168backed No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99c…6d74backed No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…12e2backed No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed No77c810.39$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…deabbacked No26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No76c756.36$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.321770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes24c749.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c706.45$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.9724443.4%106 W · 138 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5daa…d74fbacked Yes29c685.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+242.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked No77c580$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No61c576.44$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes31c563.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3603145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+41.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes20c487.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0224948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes24c472.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+199.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes29c420$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No77c419$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.632944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.677132.4%23 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes17c414$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.5633345%150 W · 183 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes25c401.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes76c386.39$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ffe…ffe4backed No25c380.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No5c376.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.591369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick36cpaid+254.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No41c358.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked No28c358.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1414741.5%61 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c350$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3365225%13 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1b…7217backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Yes31c331.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes30c326.87$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Yes31c324.84$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Yes40c321.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.53250%16 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+69.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No77c300$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315459.3%32 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes25c293$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.75911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes11c291.71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.7849748.7%242 W · 255 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes24c270.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.83046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes24c264$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.641241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c253.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5819647.4%93 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0aa…ff7cbacked Yes4c250$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes27c249.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes24c246$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.961050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Yes24c214.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+402.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes26c204.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.487643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes25c201$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+101%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No76c175.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e62…17c2backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes28c170.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Yes23c169$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+118.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes28c166.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Yes30c163.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes39c157.61$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes26c156$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.53354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes27c154$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4161…e71dbacked Yes28c140.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes30c140$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4545…475abacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes23c136.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.