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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$757,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34dd…fd83backed Yes46c314,457$144,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144,297.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes49c102,390$50,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,013.383751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked No49c100,000$48,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,031.231050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c81,819$44,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,636.732445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No52c52,721$27,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,457.72441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No51c25,676$13,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,457.5524746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c25,603$13,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,753.531,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No54c25,589$13,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,773.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed No54c22,222$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,222.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No54c21,787$11,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,022.093447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c19,955$9,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,293.7334035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No54c16,863$9,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,756.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes62c12,677$7,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457f…aa1abacked No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed No55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes1c8,656$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.963138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No54c6,188$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264a…55d4backed No10c6,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No2c5,833$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,733.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+807.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes19c5,270$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No53c5,264$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.1915250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No3c4,844$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+530.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes42c4,319$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes57c4,283$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked No25c4,237$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.761533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed No1c3,914$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,855.331100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+6,615.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes56c3,536$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c3,069$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.7848934.4%168 W · 321 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c2,733$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.3149748.7%242 W · 255 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No46c2,625$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c2,360$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0913637.5%51 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2525…3dddbacked Yes48c2,295$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc48f…7527backed Yes20c2,225$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c2,160$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes72c2,072$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003171%22 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+53.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No72c2,069$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.252356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No74c2,027$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.822060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No74c2,026$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.743145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes74c2,014$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003278.1%25 W · 7 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+60.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c2,004$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.3255349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No32c1,998$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No54c1,769$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No18c1,760$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+448.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997f…b0f7backed Yes56c1,746$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No58c1,720$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No74c1,700$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes20c1,675$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3352458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+81.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No51c1,651$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.261770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Yes50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked No34c1,551$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes69c1,522$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.41471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+102%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed No55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No74c1,351$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.742147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25024443.4%106 W · 138 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No20c1,221$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d8…6eacbacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb18…9897backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes63c1,112$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No56c1,072$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No6c1,064$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.841369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick36cpaid+254.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed No54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24e…1be8backed No43c982.92$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+159.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed Yes26c961.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf99c…6d74backed Yes26c961.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…12e2backed Yes26c961.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked No78c928.8$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked No55c912.93$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes42c886.18$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No23c834.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.731145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No32c812.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.831471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+208.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes68c799.99$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed No55c789.01$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…deabbacked Yes26c769.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes69c736.24$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No12c684.73$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No59c644$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.044946.9%23 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8c…329fbacked Yes67c620.22$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked No3c618.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+671.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes44c599.58$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.814643.5%20 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Yes50c593.18$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Yes54c563.96$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes6c555.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed Yes45c549.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked No50c543.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes60c522.02$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.213151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No3c500$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes31c493.52$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3524948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed No64c484$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.22875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Yes53c415.09$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No63c409.85$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6070…88a8backed No49c404.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.081546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ed…03ebbacked No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841560%9 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+66.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.