Ligue 1 · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3597c2a94609c07f2ee2cd5e24ad9e97810c8fa459e65c9c8e358914b9fe63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 34c | 7,343$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,843.05 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Over | 7c | 6,571$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 12c | 5,344$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.84 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 8c | 3,000$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 2,777$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.21 | 553 | 49.5%274 W · 279 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 2,277$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.71 | 340 | 35.9%122 W · 218 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 23c | 2,093$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.85 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 35c | 1,902$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.49 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 10c | 1,259$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 36cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 1,250$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.5 | 244 | 43.4%106 W · 138 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 1,250$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 274 | 41.6%114 W · 160 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 21c | 1,167$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.49 | 269 | 45%121 W · 148 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 35c | 1,147$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 34c | 1,132$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 898.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.09 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 527.96$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 390.27$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 320 | 48.1%154 W · 166 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 372.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 4c | 345.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Over | 9c | 328.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +283.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Over | 34c | 295$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 60c | 264.26$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 200.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 595 | 48.4%288 W · 307 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 35c | 188.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 36c | 168.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…03f9backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 9c | 131$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…0b95backed Over | 35c | 114.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 53c | 112.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…c159backed Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 96.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 27c | 91.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Under | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 65c | 79.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -6.5wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 67c | 58.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 33c | 57.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 56.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 54.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 50.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 48.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 475 | 50.1%238 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…afb7backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 34c | 39.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 33c | 37.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Under | 36c | 36.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Over | 35c | 31.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 80c | 27.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 67c | 20.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 70c | 15.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 2.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.