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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…cf16backed No41c25,882$10,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,633.622441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fe…cf62backed Yes60c16,036$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,380.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c5,496$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.1334035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes58c4,311$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.661770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes49c4,063$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No44c3,549$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.4935347.6%168 W · 185 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c2,998$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.321,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No37c2,078$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked No45c1,596$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.991533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c1,544$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2432048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes70c1,191$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7848934.4%168 W · 321 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c1,173$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5627441.6%114 W · 160 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes58c1,134$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.33342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c1,009$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.6155349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes56c986.78$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.097834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Yes58c862$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No26c821.27$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0311344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf731…e5c2backed Yes72c687.53$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddb…41bcbacked Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd0…7902backed No37c638.92$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe212…0409backed Yes59c632.59$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd00c…8154backed Yes57c598.67$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes55c562.65$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.191442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes55c557.29$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0913637.5%51 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed Yes36c541.67$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes61c456.03$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3115250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed No44c449.84$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed No50c444$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes70c414.69$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.164346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No43c388.61$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.16136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No44c383$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.52520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…f1c4backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c332.97$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7627646.4%128 W · 148 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.33357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes59c293.37$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.867848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Yes74c258.58$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c250.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8847550.1%238 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4925…4f82backed Yes71c241.73$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No42c216.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d6…43a5backed Yes61c205.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110c…a086backed Yes48c203.11$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.256259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x952e…4743backed Yes57c173.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747d…73b7backed No28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No42c145.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.175350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c145.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0388644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No42c137$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.545326.4%14 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Yes52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes57c133$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.243847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes47c121.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.823259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca00…848dbacked Yes57c114.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00f…0965backed Yes22c114.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+128.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c110.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5619647.4%93 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Yes58c108$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.36875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed No28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes69c100.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447829.5%23 W · 55 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed No43c95.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes50c91.9$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fc…2b03backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes61c85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No41c74.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8b…b9a7backed Yes61c71.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed No40c68.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes58c62.67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.314753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No44c62.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.482330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a4d3backed Yes55c52.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…5ee1backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked No43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.493036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes52c49.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes58c49.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.626651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9740…38afbacked No44c48.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes75c48.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.04580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881d…8c18backed Yes59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4b…d965backed No42c41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050a…49e4backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No43c35.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.