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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c11,469$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.5534035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under59c8,725$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82c8…a5dbbacked Under45c5,589$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over75c3,993$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under34c3,890$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.572441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over62c3,871$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.111,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under8c3,352$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7448934.4%168 W · 321 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+205.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ca7…39dbbacked Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under10c2,260$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.913138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over78c2,215$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over79c2,152$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.151060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under61c2,107$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c2,030$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.1624746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under50c2,018$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under17c1,836$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.031533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over46c1,186$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.281471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+102%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under26c1,099$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5424948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac7…1531backed Over54c800.98$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c780$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47b…35d7backed Over79c745.57$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under2c637.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e27…08edbacked Over71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over80c512$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.42330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over79c507$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under21c501.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2632048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd06a…101dbacked Over53c499.98$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afa…2babbacked Over73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over79c381.28$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8811344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under20c371.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.271040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c342.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.319858.2%57 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6242…c6e6backed Over47c340.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over80c312$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.421343.7%93 W · 120 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over76c298.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over79c252.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…61c3backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c02…abd6backed Over49c249.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under53c200.94$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c191.96$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5215250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over80c191$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.23847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3e…264dbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over79c153.12$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.161050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over64c150.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Under32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c147.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8219647.4%93 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3594…6533backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…c7b6backed Under47c131.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over68c129.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over67c124.24$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7523555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over67c114.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.873354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e6…5e18backed Under52c107.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Over79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over62c98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over71c94.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.964753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c93.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6559548.4%288 W · 307 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under20c82.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7447550.1%238 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9d…4073backed Over79c82.24$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under45c77.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…e7debacked Under18c75.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.052568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x539c…29b1backed Over80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over78c73.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.353259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over65c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c68.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.825145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under48c66.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.571050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under52c65.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…b695backed Over71c63.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c63.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over59c63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Under33c60.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb329…62cebacked Over67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under19c59.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.296136.1%22 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under19c56.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.962245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23b…ec3cbacked Over79c56.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over79c54.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252347.8%11 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick66cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x321e…4a0abacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Over79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+111.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc84f…bb5bbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under50c46.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9da7…8bb1backed Under61c39.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under53c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Under41c36.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over61c32.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.986336.5%23 W · 40 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x62a8…4a14backed Over64c31.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.