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Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c20,367$8,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,950.5924948.6%121 W · 128 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under68c14,820$10,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,062.0150%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c11,057$6,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,348.7134035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over47c9,954$4,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under42c8,085$3,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,427.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c7,655$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,594.961,44141%591 W · 850 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.161145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over57c4,639$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.93650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3003865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over58c4,310$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.344037.5%15 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c4,096$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.5624746.2%114 W · 133 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over58c4,086$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c4,006$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.4235347.6%168 W · 185 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c3,443$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.5655349.5%274 W · 279 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under45c3,308$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over56c3,016$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.813847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c2,958$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.075349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c2,706$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.27834.6%27 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over39c2,239$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.012441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over18c2,222$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.221435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb72…291fbacked Under43c2,154$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8604946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90014754.4%80 W · 67 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over58c1,838$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.136651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over23c1,831$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.4849748.7%242 W · 255 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under71c1,754$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under45c1,705$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.0519949.2%98 W · 101 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under43c1,614$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2003100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+205.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Over33c1,455$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302544%11 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c1,123$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0211344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over57c1,058$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.143357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under47c1,010$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-58.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over36c925.98$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.01850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0914741.5%61 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over51c760.78$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.781060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over55c664.96$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afa…2babbacked Over56c646$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Under41c638.73$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.662937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under45c538$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.12458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+81.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over54c537.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under76c533.64$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c525.64$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1915250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over55c490.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9532048.1%154 W · 166 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7079…58e8backed Over24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c399.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9924151.9%125 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over33c384$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+105.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over58c320$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc942…839cbacked Over57c295.81$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over56c285.71$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Over56c285.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under43c267.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.182642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Under45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under10c245$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa598…aa4fbacked Under9c243.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c234.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.773354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…9cdbbacked Over58c232.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…acbbbacked Over54c216.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412035.8%43 W · 77 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bd…b8f3backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c155.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.121,93945.3%878 W · 1,061 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.55350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over70c143$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439858.2%57 W · 41 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under75c133.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c125.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5788644.4%393 W · 493 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over52c117.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.984753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Over55c111$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c107.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.223555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under40c107.19$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c103.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1813637.5%51 W · 85 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffd…7158backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457829.5%23 W · 55 L-10.5wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Over24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+111.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c98.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over18c93.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.495145.1%23 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under50c91.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under50c91.7$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.