TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,336 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x821d…cf16backed Under27c2,038$556 inLost-$556.462441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…104cbacked Over57c1,140$650 inWon+$490.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c1,103$470 inLost-$469.5934035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Under62c1,019$632 inLost-$632450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over38c899.53$342 inWon+$557.7111344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c891.67$262 inLost-$262.0448934.4%168 W · 321 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x084a…5516backed Over79c502.29$399 inWon+$102.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c496.08$138 inWon+$357.9415250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Under23c314.95$73 inLost-$72.511533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c302.06$198 inWon+$104.243259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over34c241.99$82 inWon+$159.674156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Over69c209.99$144 inWon+$65.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over73c155.41$113 inWon+$41.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under10c120$12 inLost-$121,93945.3%878 W · 1,061 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bc…a1e4backed Under69c105.52$72 inLost-$72.310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over55c100$55 inWon+$45757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb57…6570backed Over60c100$60 inWon+$401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Over64c63$40 inWon+$22.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under42c50.3$21 inLost-$21.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3397…f4cabacked Over51c50$26 inWon+$24.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8c…3972backed Over70c45.3$32 inWon+$13.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under37c34.05$13 inLost-$12.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under44c23.89$11 inLost-$10.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5c…d463backed Over77c15.58$12 inWon+$3.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x869a…5a78backed Over73c14.96$11 inWon+$4.043100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.