Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa35cca8a81f8325b3a7d9aaa74aa482526373e34c210b0f1f0365a5a845dddc2

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lille OSCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Lille OSC
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $98,103
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,103 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	31,250$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Lille OSC	70c	21,648$15,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,494.43	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	30c	19,276$5,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,763.41	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lille OSC	68c	13,970$9,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,423.66	340	35.9%122 W · 218 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+39%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lille OSC	68c	10,378$7,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,320.81	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	6,905$2,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,209.49	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Lille OSC	68c	6,687$4,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,139.76	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lille OSC	68c	4,496$3,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,438.81	553	49.5%274 W · 279 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lille OSC	67c	2,772$1,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.49	320	48.1%154 W · 166 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	2,495$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.85	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+71.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	2,409$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.01	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Lille OSC	68c	1,761$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lille OSC	69c	1,233$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.09	1,441	41%591 W · 850 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Lille OSC	68c	1,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	985.77$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.5	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Lille OSC	70c	922.76$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.5	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-5.6wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x234b…4118backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	833.15$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.27	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	33c	785.29$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.14	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Lille OSC	67c	768.18$512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.01	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b31…3e10backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	663.32$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lille OSC	68c	661.78$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.14	886	44.4%393 W · 493 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	625$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	524$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.29	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	512$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.72	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lille OSC	74c	505.87$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.6	489	34.4%168 W · 321 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	470.59$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	29c	373.6$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.65	152	50%76 W · 76 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Lille OSC	66c	354.15$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.41	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	351.42$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.09	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Lille OSC	69c	334.33$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Lille OSC	74c	306.62$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	247	46.2%114 W · 133 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	23c	298$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.54	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	254$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Lille OSC	77c	250$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	269	60.6%163 W · 106 L	+25.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Lille OSC	69c	239.61$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	216.47$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Lille OSC	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8101…90bebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	154$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	1,939	45.3%878 W · 1,061 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lille OSC	68c	130.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.48	475	50.1%238 W · 237 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Lille OSC	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe809…039bbacked Lille OSC	69c	88$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Lille OSC	69c	86.96$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	33c	82.07$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Lille OSC	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Lille OSC	68c	75$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Lille OSC	70c	71.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad6…eab6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	30c	66.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	62.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	136	37.5%51 W · 85 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Lille OSC	67c	59.7$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+93.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x929a…c529backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	58.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dce…dcc3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	58.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	204	50%102 W · 102 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Lille OSC	68c	57.18$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.35	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Lille OSC	69c	52.73$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Lille OSC	69c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Lille OSC	70c	44.99$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Lille OSC	78c	42.02$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	235	55.3%130 W · 105 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Lille OSC	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Lille OSC	68c	39.46$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Lille OSC	68c	36.55$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Lille OSC	68c	35.71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	35.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	31c	34.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Lille OSC	70c	32.7$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.78	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Lille OSC	69c	31.88$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Paris Saint-Germain FC	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c4…85c2backed Lille OSC	69c	19.77$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.13	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)this page
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 2.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over won
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Spread: Lille OSC (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Lille OSC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event