TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,690 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c605.13$214 inWon+$390.9234035.9%122 W · 218 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c468.97$331 inLost-$331.1815250%76 W · 76 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c310.64$127 inWon+$183.2848934.4%168 W · 321 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over28c308.93$85 inWon+$223.482441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over35c302.17$105 inWon+$197.662240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under71c250$177 inLost-$177.535347.6%168 W · 185 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under65c177.17$115 inLost-$115.164847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under74c100$74 inLost-$74250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under70c50$35 inLost-$351717.6%3 W · 14 L-6.5wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-65.2%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Under70c39$27 inLost-$27.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under61c24.46$15 inLost-$14.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under74c17.47$13 inLost-$12.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Under74c14.53$11 inLost-$10.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.