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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes72c34,555$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,554.791492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.3wins+0.45per pick48cpaid+120.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes72c7,625$5,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.931735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c5,680$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.253,24742.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L+4.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No28c5,186$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.261,29049.1%633 W · 657 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No27c4,886$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.8825248.8%123 W · 129 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No28c4,830$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.6577248.8%377 W · 395 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No28c4,496$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.091,03450.8%525 W · 509 L+16.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No28c4,434$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.7872550.2%364 W · 361 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No27c3,789$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.1347342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes74c3,122$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.9814434.7%50 W · 94 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No27c2,849$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.269959.6%59 W · 40 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes72c2,703$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.4341442.3%175 W · 239 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No27c2,598$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.545265.4%34 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+20.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No28c1,997$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.6163249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed No30c1,959$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.8833442.5%142 W · 192 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Yes73c1,850$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.4912100%12 W · 0 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c1,812$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.962,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No27c1,700$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No17c1,640$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.171,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes68c1,590$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9738431.5%121 W · 263 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No28c1,441$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.381,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No12c1,397$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.822,43437.3%909 W · 1,525 L-9.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes69c1,384$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.598870.5%62 W · 26 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33621648.6%105 W · 111 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes72c1,067$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9120440.7%83 W · 121 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes75c941.87$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.972,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No27c935.3$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.533327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a39…9315backed Yes71c901.41$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No28c800$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281,20047.4%569 W · 631 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No27c797.45$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.316336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5da…625abacked Yes71c546.48$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c523$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.021,22245.3%553 W · 669 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes71c507.35$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.131855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c468.23$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.981,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No28c343$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0422644.2%100 W · 126 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes70c330$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996078.3%47 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No6c282$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9241245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.692268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes69c277.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0822237.8%84 W · 138 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27b9…5564backed Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972972.4%21 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes72c271.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8914749%72 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes70c270$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818336.1%30 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes72c217$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7620948.8%102 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566336.5%23 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5423240.9%95 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes77c192.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7693341.4%386 W · 547 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No29c189.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.079153.8%49 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No27c188.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.943363.6%21 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes70c159.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9921847.7%104 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes73c157.18$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.911,21936.3%442 W · 777 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes66c127$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.188574.1%63 W · 22 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No27c116$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7834449.1%169 W · 175 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes78c114.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.812268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes70c114$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.234142.8%146 W · 195 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No28c111$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.083119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b9…60c6backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No28c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.563649.5%315 W · 321 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes72c94.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121848.6%106 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4310766.4%71 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.36271%44 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Yes74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.572181%17 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc73b…f046backed Yes21c57.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.06650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+101.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes72c56.81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8976037.4%284 W · 476 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes70c50.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c09…84f0backed Yes71c50.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No29c46.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3549555.4%274 W · 221 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed No28c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No33c41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5389648.2%432 W · 464 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112765.4%83 W · 44 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed No29c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No29c37.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1133142.9%142 W · 189 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Yes71c36.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes78c33.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2454353.8%292 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e1…5ad3backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d75…bd1fbacked Yes72c26.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734754.8%190 W · 157 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.131968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes72c20.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.892365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes73c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.44369.8%30 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5064…12d0backed Yes71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.