Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43196e9cd06fba957317b8d7eebc9f50936b6eda772318c54823f5a52b53effc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 10,155$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.03 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 8,595$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 1c | 5,950$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 12c | 4,878$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.47 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 7c | 4,615$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 302 | 36.1%109 W · 193 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 79c | 4,342$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.16 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 2,943$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.13 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 2,852$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,136$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 9c | 1,778$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 21c | 1,570$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Yes | 77c | 1,388$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 21c | 1,256$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.3 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Yes | 79c | 1,199$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.71 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 20c | 1,083$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 358 | 33%118 W · 240 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked No | 11c | 1,058$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 21c | 947.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 79c | 918.86$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.59 | 1,196 | 46.2%553 W · 643 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 895.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.69 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Yes | 77c | 779.21$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 23c | 698.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Yes | 79c | 534$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…7fd4backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 80c | 378.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 20c | 275.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 80c | 252.49$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 80c | 251.89$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 14c | 227.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Yes | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…2981backed Yes | 78c | 128.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31eabacked Yes | 79c | 127.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…09aabacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…b7c7backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 79c | 113.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes | 80c | 102.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…2929backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…6ff2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 20c | 98.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 20c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 79c | 78.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 57cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e39…aad6backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…2a9cbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…1b91backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 22c | 56.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 78c | 42.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…aa24backed Yes | 80c | 42.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…9e00backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a8…b58bbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +404.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Yes | 80c | 36.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…7b9fbacked Yes | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…a8f6backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 80c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…5ad3backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 80c | 24.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…a76dbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Yes | 79c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…c489backed Yes | 80c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…6471backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ade…03cfbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.