WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031c5553bf904b221f889045ae60fecd273f5e2939b6233dc0f311ef44a84882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 48c | 14,127$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.93 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 10,909$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.21 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 9,607$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.2 | 809 | 48.6%393 W · 416 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 9,542$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,484.87 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 8,147$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.43 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 6,186$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.66 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 51c | 3,330$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 3,027$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.69 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,330$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.92 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 1,312$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.64 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…ecb8backed Under | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 53c | 947.85$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.49 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 47c | 774.47$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 293 | 58.7%172 W · 121 L | +20.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 716.12$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.61 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 52c | 682.32$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…06b5backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 245.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 196$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 46c | 185.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 153.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 45c | 139.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 53c | 139.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 48c | 131.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 121.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 317 | 47.3%150 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 52c | 113$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 100.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Under | 53c | 59.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Under | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 48c | 32.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 67.5%162 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 26.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Under | 52c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.