WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1a62744f8a4925535d72d613423b822893b405d2db51f7de75998c530d4738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Seattle Storm, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 4,862$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.22 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 4,529$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 59c | 2,416$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.25 | 399 | 50.4%201 W · 198 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 2,287$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.28 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo | 39c | 2,280$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.19 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 2,238$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.67 | 574 | 55.2%317 W · 257 L | +27.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 2,084$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.06 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.21 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 888.58$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.22 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 552.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 401.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Seattle Storm | 56c | 345.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Seattle Storm | 61c | 334.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 292 | 58.6%171 W · 121 L | +20.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…35fcbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 303.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 280.01$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 253.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 223.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 221.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 219.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…2febbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 204.57$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Seattle Storm | 60c | 144.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 133.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 254 | 45.7%116 W · 138 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 515 | 47.2%243 W · 272 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 119.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 111.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Toronto Tempo | 53c | 111.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 110.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 351 | 40.2%141 W · 210 L | -19.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 105.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Toronto Tempo | 42c | 99.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…345fbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +84%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 92.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 89.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…4099backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Tempo | 34c | 80.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 632 | 46.8%296 W · 336 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 67c | 65.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 42c | 52.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 718 | 45.3%325 W · 393 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Seattle Storm | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Toronto Tempo | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Seattle Storm | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 41.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 39.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Toronto Tempo | 52c | 37.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 34.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 27.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 27.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 24.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Seattle Storm | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.