WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa207c46500e0e74f95d9c971dc5683f2f657b381d8c22323a2330f6a06a47150
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Seattle Storm, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 19,234$8,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,945.17 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 9,026$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.2 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 7,190$3,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.4 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 6,912$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.37 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 4,492$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.33 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 3,883$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 2,827$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.05 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 2,280$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.39 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 1,953$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.87 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,716$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.78 | 217 | 47.5%103 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,678$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.63 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,371$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.41 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 1,363$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.31 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,279$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.25 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 574 | 55.2%317 W · 257 L | +27.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 768$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 591.19$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 532.36$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 386.01$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 383.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.97 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 330.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 351 | 40.2%141 W · 210 L | -19.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 288.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 288.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo | 54c | 246.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 515 | 47.2%243 W · 272 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Tempo | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 220.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…8ac6backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 142.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 116.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 107.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 102$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 98.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 98.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 92.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 45c | 90.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Toronto Tempo | 50c | 82.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 632 | 46.8%296 W · 336 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Toronto Tempo | 44c | 79.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Toronto Tempo | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 55.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 51.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Toronto Tempo | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Toronto Tempo | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Toronto Tempo | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 45c | 48.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 718 | 45.3%325 W · 393 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…b6c4backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 44.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 41.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 37.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 34.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeed…3aecbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 32.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Toronto Tempo | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Seattle Storm | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…48b8backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 23.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 189 | 45%85 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.