WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b11e213df743ef82239d10fb8783b21ade8a7e32f5b103e6b1e8baa76552891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 14,873$8,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.6 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 43c | 11,728$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.04 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 45c | 9,445$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.02 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.99 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 43c | 3,232$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.75 | 408 | 50%204 W · 204 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 1,607$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.91 | 332 | 50%166 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 1,459$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.03 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 1,222$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.44 | 578 | 54.8%317 W · 261 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 545.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 489.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 388.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.22 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 382.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 342 | 49.7%170 W · 172 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…35fcbacked Over | 49c | 283.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 51c | 230.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 44c | 221.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Under | 53c | 220.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 218.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 204.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 353 | 26.1%92 W · 261 L | -22.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 44c | 145.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 51c | 139$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 376 | 53.7%202 W · 174 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 50c | 132$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 55c | 125.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 49c | 122.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 48c | 120.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 57c | 112.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 105.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 407 | 50.1%204 W · 203 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 56c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 58c | 90.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 89.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 56c | 80.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 322 | 50%161 W · 161 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 49c | 61.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 49c | 61.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…1e7ebacked Under | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 42c | 52.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 725 | 45.2%328 W · 397 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…c723backed Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…96a0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +16.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 885 | 48.2%427 W · 458 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 47c | 28.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5b…acdcbacked Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 48c | 22.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.