WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd3b7cc52547a8b50e78d8dfecc8e653124f2adad839058da56917fbed3823b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 61c | 1,852$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.38 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 41c | 1,660$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.93 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 673.81$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.49 | 783 | 42.3%331 W · 452 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 60c | 331.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 39c | 271.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 40c | 230.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 276 | 46%127 W · 149 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 61c | 214.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 61c | 163.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…33d1backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 155.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 1,040 | 47.7%496 W · 544 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 144$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Under | 70c | 129.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 59c | 128$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 364 | 40.4%147 W · 217 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 39c | 85.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…541ebacked Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Under | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 62c | 46.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 679 | 51.1%347 W · 332 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 40c | 34.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 39c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 22.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.