WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09fca015b2e1dd8816fa7c8135d262710dc3f8a29145092bc25b5f2c6b37cefb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 49c | 4,238$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 3,245$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.5 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 1,006$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.98 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 944.73$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.88 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Over | 50c | 391.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Over | 18c | 386.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 365.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 334$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 574 | 55.2%317 W · 257 L | +27.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 172.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 335 | 49.3%165 W · 170 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Over | 77c | 170.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 23c | 159.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 68c | 146.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 124.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 803 | 48.7%391 W · 412 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 264 | 47%124 W · 140 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 95.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 87.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 51c | 79.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 62.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 380 | 50.5%192 W · 188 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 24c | 57.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 20c | 52.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 376 | 53.7%202 W · 174 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 351 | 40.2%141 W · 210 L | -19.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 48.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 48c | 33.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 47c | 32.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Over | 47c | 28.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.