WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0301a0cf93d632dadabf11473530364624f449c1ed4272eb04dab7dcdd9ce37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 52c | 3,311$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.51 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 3,139$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.06 | 301 | 54.8%165 W · 136 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,296$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.6 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 1,425$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.23 | 574 | 55.2%317 W · 257 L | +27.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 534.52$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.9 | 774 | 42.5%329 W · 445 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 527.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 18c | 526.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 404 | 40.6%164 W · 240 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Under | 59c | 306.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 48c | 303.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 48c | 289.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Under | 59c | 214.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 43c | 214$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 351 | 40.2%141 W · 210 L | -19.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 151.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 150.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 871 | 48.2%420 W · 451 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 53c | 146.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 55c | 145.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 49c | 140.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +15.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 57c | 128$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 51c | 100.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 52c | 87.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 87.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 47c | 85.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…4099backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 52c | 75.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 53c | 71.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 42c | 38.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 189 | 45%85 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 31.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 41c | 25.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…e969backed Over | 52c | 25.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 43c | 23.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 59c | 22.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 177.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julie Allemand: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Seattle Storm (-6.5)Seattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 173.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 176.5Under won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.