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WNBA · resolved market

Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$225,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Under49c82,027$40,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,620.992458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c60,000$30,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,6004632.6%15 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c51,454$26,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,008.980348.7%391 W · 412 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Over50c46,232$23,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,116.039535.8%34 W · 61 L-10.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c32,506$15,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,607.171,02547.8%490 W · 535 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under50c14,392$7,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,1967949.4%39 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…7ec6backed Over55c9,383$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under48c8,967$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.5312258.2%71 W · 51 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Under49c6,158$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.382462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under57c6,065$3,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.776845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under50c5,553$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.530154.8%165 W · 136 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c5,523$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.561,80351.8%934 W · 869 L+56.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c5,237$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.6167051.5%345 W · 325 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over51c3,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5208846.6%41 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.334540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.332152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c1,968$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4552052.9%275 W · 245 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under48c1,528$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7440440.6%164 W · 240 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76515049.3%74 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…ecb8backed Under50c1,250$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6252259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c1,224$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.492751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under49c1,110$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.656553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51018346.4%85 W · 98 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over51c982.99$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8111854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Over51c961.53$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under50c917.38$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6930548.9%149 W · 156 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over51c888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.885560%33 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40815142.4%64 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x382f…c116backed Under50c784.94$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.47560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x748d…8251backed Under50c732.02$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under28c627$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.682846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over49c500.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.523948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…bf6ebacked Under26c415.78$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+214.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Under38c380$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.22638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under51c343$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6857455.2%317 W · 257 L+27.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e2…35fcbacked Under46c326.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Over43c306.37$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-78.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under48c287.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.574042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under50c256$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c208.77$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2135140.2%141 W · 210 L-19.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006459.4%38 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f3c…1c56backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.985343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under51c180.42$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.061546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under50c175.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.84751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c172.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3291349.3%450 W · 463 L+4.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under50c152.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2910048%48 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over43c151.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6513839.9%55 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under50c144$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.866256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Over47c119.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over43c119.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4825846.9%121 W · 137 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c112.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1426746.4%124 W · 143 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Under50c102.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.052965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c100.03$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8334748.4%168 W · 179 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Under38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over51c96.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.043053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Over43c93.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0271…4099backed Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under50c79.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.793050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…1012backed Over52c76.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c71$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Over43c58.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4917251.2%88 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c9d…62c1backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Under38c52.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258568.2%58 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Under37c48.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+213.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x193a…2dfabacked Over30c46.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.971346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under55c40.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2935454.2%192 W · 162 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26540%26 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9491…5eabbacked Under52c37.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7127…c7a2backed Over43c34.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…f368backed Under52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6910100%10 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under52c31.49$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0714661.6%90 W · 56 L+15.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c31.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33969.2%27 W · 12 L+6.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.