Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74102a2687a2b3370e51f44b18f164bdadf773cb3f203e7927028819a3bb206c

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, summer bear
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,013
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,013 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked RE.Arise	75c	6,041$4,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,487.74	809	55.9%452 W · 357 L	+21.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed RE.Arise	65c	3,471$2,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215.69	714	42.6%304 W · 410 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd5…a179backed summer bear	35c	3,351$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,168.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed RE.Arise	79c	2,187$1,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.47	202	51.5%104 W · 98 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked summer bear	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	704	35.4%249 W · 455 L	+16.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed summer bear	37c	1,105$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.06	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed RE.Arise	47c	999.98$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.99	331	44.7%148 W · 183 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked RE.Arise	78c	981.82$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.37	621	55.9%347 W · 274 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed summer bear	3c	964.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	343	2.9%10 W · 333 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked summer bear	20c	935.34$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.75	906	38.4%348 W · 558 L	-40.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked summer bear	32c	923.93$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.29	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed summer bear	23c	869.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked summer bear	22c	749.31$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.85	907	41.2%374 W · 533 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…c059backed summer bear	18c	610$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.7	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear	22c	535.53$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.17	970	42.2%409 W · 561 L	-20.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf953…2f1abacked summer bear	24c	506$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked summer bear	17c	486.65$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.92	150	42.7%64 W · 86 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed summer bear	22c	429.7$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.14	1,270	49.6%630 W · 640 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d59…8b19backed summer bear	18c	425.9$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.6	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked summer bear	31c	422.69$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.9	707	52.5%371 W · 336 L	+48.9wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed RE.Arise	56c	419.28$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.66	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed summer bear	56c	412.61$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.16	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked summer bear	57c	399.23$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.76	287	45.6%131 W · 156 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec1…9a95backed summer bear	19c	396$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.47	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed summer bear	16c	386.69$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.64	444	38.7%172 W · 272 L	-43.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed summer bear	21c	360.9$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.51	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad26…6838backed summer bear	33c	334.51$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	33	72.7%24 W · 9 L	+8.2wins	+0.25per pick	48cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed summer bear	33c	304$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked summer bear	44c	300.93$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.6	408	42.4%173 W · 235 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde4…6453backed RE.Arise	56c	270$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed summer bear	10c	260$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed summer bear	24c	258$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.92	704	33.1%233 W · 471 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed RE.Arise	41c	255$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.45	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed summer bear	19c	250$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	387	32.8%127 W · 260 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed RE.Arise	41c	249.7$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.18	417	55.6%232 W · 185 L	+42.0wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear	24c	241.05$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.44	1,723	41.3%711 W · 1,012 L	-43.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked summer bear	36c	240.12$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.98	2,395	47.4%1,135 W · 1,260 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1004…7800backed summer bear	59c	235.59$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed summer bear	10c	220$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe481…f280backed summer bear	15c	220$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked summer bear	22c	217$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.69	911	38.2%348 W · 563 L	-45.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed RE.Arise	73c	214.63$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.95	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked summer bear	37c	212.97$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.78	1,482	48.9%724 W · 758 L	+32.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked summer bear	17c	209$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	130	33.1%43 W · 87 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked summer bear	53c	206.47$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.23	688	47.4%326 W · 362 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked summer bear	17c	205.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed RE.Arise	66c	200$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0a…5cc0backed summer bear	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed summer bear	13c	197.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	183	49.7%91 W · 92 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked summer bear	14c	195.01$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…caa8backed RE.Arise	79c	192.41$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.41	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-6.4wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0760…80f8backed RE.Arise	74c	190.78$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	71cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed summer bear	32c	187.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked summer bear	23c	183.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.32	435	46.7%203 W · 232 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked summer bear	24c	176.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	446	49.6%221 W · 225 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed summer bear	7c	175$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked summer bear	27c	169.03$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	385	54.8%211 W · 174 L	+20.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked summer bear	10c	168.65$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.87	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf848…8c59backed summer bear	24c	157.44$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.36	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed RE.Arise	68c	149.96$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.99	392	46.2%181 W · 211 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked summer bear	22c	145.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	575	45.2%260 W · 315 L	-17.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked summer bear	20c	139.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed summer bear	23c	130.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	181	37%67 W · 114 L	-14.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3214…cfcbbacked RE.Arise	71c	130$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.9	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+11.1wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed RE.Arise	70c	125$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	333	41.1%137 W · 196 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed summer bear	17c	123.53$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked summer bear	22c	121.9$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.25	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed summer bear	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked summer bear	22c	120$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.77	545	38.5%210 W · 335 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb67…fd46backed RE.Arise	45c	120$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.6	96	34.4%33 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked summer bear	19c	120$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed RE.Arise	44c	110$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.86	442	60.6%268 W · 174 L	+45.4wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked summer bear	51c	101.96$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed summer bear	22c	101.82$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7c3…92c5backed summer bear	47c	101.47$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-31%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked RE.Arise	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	597	53.8%321 W · 276 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise	59c	99.38$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.95	833	45.1%376 W · 457 L	-28.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed RE.Arise	78c	98$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.38	657	47.8%314 W · 343 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabe6…2faebacked RE.Arise	50c	95.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.82	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed summer bear	40c	94.9$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	265	50.6%134 W · 131 L	+7.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked summer bear	39c	89.86$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	334	52.7%176 W · 158 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed summer bear	24c	87.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x142f…19f9backed summer bear	19c	84.72$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed summer bear	41c	79.38$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.25	259	49.4%128 W · 131 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked summer bear	45c	78.86$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	1,914	47.6%911 W · 1,003 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1614…0bedbacked summer bear	25c	76.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.34	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed RE.Arise	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.1	150	42.7%64 W · 86 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked summer bear	24c	59.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed RE.Arise	79c	56$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	168	39.3%66 W · 102 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8370…cd4fbacked summer bear	37c	53.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked summer bear	34c	50.28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc53…0f64backed summer bear	58c	49.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked summer bear	54c	48.17$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x107d…4fadbacked summer bear	23c	46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed summer bear	24c	45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	-19.9wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked RE.Arise	77c	42$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	797	41.9%334 W · 463 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked RE.Arise	75c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	478	58.6%280 W · 198 L	+24.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ee…0439backed RE.Arise	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+6.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed RE.Arise	60c	39.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	256	59%151 W · 105 L	+14.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc916…6371backed RE.Arise	68c	36.91$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.91	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnerRE.Arise won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event