Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00097fa9332bd3b24e3ad1b3dd2343d064a8691afbf1780516c86571c19f68d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked RE.Arise | 59c | 10,468$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.95 | 907 | 41.2%374 W · 533 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked summer bear | 27c | 10,078$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.83 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked RE.Arise | 72c | 8,306$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.23 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed summer bear | 38c | 3,508$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.66 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed summer bear | 25c | 2,897$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.67 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed summer bear | 42c | 2,293$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked summer bear | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 704 | 35.4%249 W · 455 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked summer bear | 41c | 1,703$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed summer bear | 2c | 1,699$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 343 | 2.9%10 W · 333 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked RE.Arise | 76c | 1,601$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked summer bear | 18c | 1,504$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed RE.Arise | 62c | 1,500$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.41 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed summer bear | 39c | 1,464$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 1,126 | 36.2%408 W · 718 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked summer bear | 38c | 1,338$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.65 | 688 | 47.4%326 W · 362 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…49b2backed summer bear | 31c | 1,145$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.09 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed summer bear | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed RE.Arise | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.26 | 510 | 69.4%354 W · 156 L | +34.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed RE.Arise | 73c | 987.68$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked summer bear | 36c | 963.47$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked summer bear | 24c | 919.78$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked summer bear | 44c | 743.34$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…9a95backed summer bear | 29c | 644.77$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed RE.Arise | 65c | 586.59$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.31 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 22c | 556.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked summer bear | 28c | 543.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed summer bear | 39c | 499.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed summer bear | 48c | 489.6$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RE.Arise | 78c | 447.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 925 | 53.6%496 W · 429 L | +51.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…d897backed RE.Arise | 71c | 438.68$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed summer bear | 10c | 437.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed RE.Arise | 73c | 409.58$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked summer bear | 26c | 378.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 287 | 45.6%131 W · 156 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed summer bear | 37c | 353.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked RE.Arise | 56c | 352.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked summer bear | 28c | 344.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed RE.Arise | 75c | 319.81$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed summer bear | 15c | 300.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked summer bear | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked RE.Arise | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.73 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed summer bear | 28c | 296.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked RE.Arise | 78c | 285.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 927 | 56.5%524 W · 403 L | +79.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed summer bear | 35c | 273.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…966fbacked RE.Arise | 75c | 269.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed RE.Arise | 72c | 265.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed summer bear | 38c | 262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked summer bear | 25c | 253.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed RE.Arise | 71c | 219.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 238 | 62.2%148 W · 90 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…6453backed RE.Arise | 75c | 213.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed summer bear | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed summer bear | 27c | 208.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed summer bear | 41c | 193.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked summer bear | 24c | 188.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked summer bear | 10c | 176.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed summer bear | 47c | 166.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked summer bear | 38c | 155.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe979…0bffbacked summer bear | 23c | 154.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…f3fcbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked summer bear | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 33.1%43 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed RE.Arise | 74c | 135.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked summer bear | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 797 | 41.9%334 W · 463 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked summer bear | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked summer bear | 22c | 117.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…2586backed RE.Arise | 79c | 113.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed summer bear | 25c | 113.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed summer bear | 26c | 102.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 597 | 56.4%337 W · 260 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed summer bear | 37c | 96.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed summer bear | 27c | 95.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 37%67 W · 114 L | -14.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed RE.Arise | 75c | 94.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 91.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked RE.Arise | 63c | 83.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f754backed RE.Arise | 78c | 79.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked summer bear | 38c | 79.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed summer bear | 37c | 75.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked RE.Arise | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 478 | 58.6%280 W · 198 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed summer bear | 43c | 69.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed RE.Arise | 69c | 65.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed RE.Arise | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked RE.Arise | 72c | 55.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed RE.Arise | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked RE.Arise | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…66ebbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 45.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked summer bear | 37c | 45.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked summer bear | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed RE.Arise | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked RE.Arise | 79c | 38.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626a…3d36backed RE.Arise | 74c | 37.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed RE.Arise | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +19.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked summer bear | 35c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked RE.Arise | 51c | 31.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked RE.Arise | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed RE.Arise | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…661dbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 24.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked RE.Arise | 79c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…4ab8backed RE.Arise | 65c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed RE.Arise | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed RE.Arise | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed RE.Arise | 72c | 15.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 397 | 58.7%233 W · 164 L | +24.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed RE.Arise | 73c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BRE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.