TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof XLG Gaming, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4980…5709backed Nova Esports41c3,222$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.5832245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming56c3,194$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…2fc6backed Nova Esports47c2,767$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Nova Esports43c2,407$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.9125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Nova Esports51c1,980$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.741963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming55c1,864$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.5428955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports49c1,507$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.3793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked XLG Gaming55c1,472$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.9436138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Nova Esports44c1,300$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72839042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming50c1,293$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.316950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Nova Esports77c1,165$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0412652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed XLG Gaming52c1,139$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.612634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1555152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed XLG Gaming30c1,046$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8916033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Nova Esports33c1,037$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.7219751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed XLG Gaming57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5706541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed XLG Gaming53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed XLG Gaming56c909$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.339046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76b…e9d5backed XLG Gaming57c880.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6c…a2c3backed XLG Gaming59c840.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming25c831$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.261,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Nova Esports43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45626447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports41c781.19$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming52c750.97$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5784838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed XLG Gaming56c711.39$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3825556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Nova Esports43c685.18$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.555263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nova Esports40c608.65$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1941734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5008…9466backed XLG Gaming66c590.02$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.274434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Nova Esports44c557.96$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9115038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed XLG Gaming54c555.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.996055%33 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming57c544.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.1425660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked XLG Gaming78c516.05$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming53c476.43$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports44c370$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.21,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed XLG Gaming57c357.14$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.575962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming42c336$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1581134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked XLG Gaming55c335.23$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5828743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Nova Esports46c312.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4549255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming50c304.46$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming47c277.17$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461b…38ffbacked XLG Gaming5c268.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134864.6%31 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed XLG Gaming53c264.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2828252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked XLG Gaming56c263.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Nova Esports38c260.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3212250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports44c257.2$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0325347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports53c251.19$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0614959.7%89 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75cf…be46backed XLG Gaming60c250.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nova Esports50c240.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.1760154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Nova Esports47c231.59$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5311457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming52c223$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9618143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming53c222.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0763447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Nova Esports45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Nova Esports45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.119655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Nova Esports47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7713043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed XLG Gaming30c210.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.841835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming39c209.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1890733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked XLG Gaming57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x32c6…b25bbacked Nova Esports25c198.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.551250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+98.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Nova Esports44c197.84$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.798144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed XLG Gaming25c182$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.54447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed XLG Gaming49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7523733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed XLG Gaming56c179.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed XLG Gaming49c171.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.292763%17 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Nova Esports46c165$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed XLG Gaming61c159.08$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.043627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Nova Esports44c146.59$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0646347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming75c138.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.811,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming47c135.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.881,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Nova Esports46c131.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4410555.2%58 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Nova Esports41c129.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.883647.2%17 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming53c127.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.421,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming42c122.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7511149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed XLG Gaming52c119$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.081850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming72c108.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.821,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Nova Esports40c107.23$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.856235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Nova Esports58c106.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4521457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports72c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8888844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed XLG Gaming11c104.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.465545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked XLG Gaming55c103.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.719145.1%41 W · 50 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c44…5d15backed XLG Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8429…694cbacked Nova Esports47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x551d…e8b6backed Nova Esports47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3192…71fbbacked Nova Esports47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc8…a2e4backed XLG Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c85…5cd6backed XLG Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked XLG Gaming15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Nova Esports25c99.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.994517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming55c97.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3519648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked XLG Gaming56c91.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.171850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Nova Esports48c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports45c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked XLG Gaming51c89.57$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8457151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Nova Esports28c85.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9312335.8%44 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32e9…39a0backed Nova Esports47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.116544.6%29 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming54c85.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9342051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed XLG Gaming29c83.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9612640.5%51 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed XLG Gaming13c83.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed XLG Gaming25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.325538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nova Esports44c79.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5322440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.