Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646f96c6d324ee7a5e5b5375d3257d85ca1df81f0791b5ffd16ef8d78ce242c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof XLG Gaming, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4980…5709backed Nova Esports | 41c | 3,222$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.58 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 3,194$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Nova Esports | 47c | 2,767$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Nova Esports | 43c | 2,407$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.91 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…0200backed Nova Esports | 51c | 1,980$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 1,864$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.54 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 49c | 1,507$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.37 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 1,472$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.94 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nova Esports | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 1,293$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Nova Esports | 77c | 1,165$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 1,139$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.15 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 1,046$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Nova Esports | 33c | 1,037$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.72 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…0e96backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 909$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76b…e9d5backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 880.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 840.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 831$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Nova Esports | 43c | 800$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports | 41c | 781.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.82 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming | 52c | 750.97$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.57 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 711.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Nova Esports | 43c | 685.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.55 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nova Esports | 40c | 608.65$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed XLG Gaming | 66c | 590.02$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Nova Esports | 44c | 557.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.91 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed XLG Gaming | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 544.11$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.14 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked XLG Gaming | 78c | 516.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 476.43$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 44c | 370$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 357.14$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.57 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 336$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 335.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.58 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nova Esports | 46c | 312.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 304.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 47c | 277.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked XLG Gaming | 5c | 268.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 264.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 263.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 260.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports | 44c | 257.2$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Nova Esports | 53c | 251.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cf…be46backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 250.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nova Esports | 50c | 240.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Nova Esports | 47c | 231.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 223$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 222.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Nova Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Nova Esports | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Nova Esports | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 210.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 209.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked XLG Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Nova Esports | 25c | 198.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Nova Esports | 44c | 197.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 182$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 179.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 171.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 165$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed XLG Gaming | 61c | 159.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nova Esports | 44c | 146.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked XLG Gaming | 75c | 138.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 135.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 131.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 129.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 127.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 122.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 119$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming | 72c | 108.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 107.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Nova Esports | 58c | 106.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed XLG Gaming | 11c | 104.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked XLG Gaming | 55c | 103.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…5d15backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…694cbacked Nova Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…e8b6backed Nova Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…71fbbacked Nova Esports | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…a2e4backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…5cd6backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Nova Esports | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 97.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked XLG Gaming | 56c | 91.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Nova Esports | 48c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 89.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Nova Esports | 28c | 85.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed Nova Esports | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming | 54c | 85.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 83.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed XLG Gaming | 13c | 83.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nova Esports | 44c | 79.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.